The Cryosphere, 24 April 2025
Scientists have developed a statistical technique to predict how snowfall and surface melting will influence the stability of Antarctic ice shelves under different emissions scenarios. They found that while most ice shelves remain safe from meltwater-driven fracturing under low emissions (SSP1-2.6), nearly all could become prone to hydrofracturing by 2150 under very high emissions (SSP5-8.5). Increased surface runoff poses a major threat to Antarctic ice shelves, hindering and even inhibiting their ability to restrain larger sections of the ice sheet from sliding faster into the ocean, with earlier and faster sea-level rise a result.
Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, 23 April 2026 Observations suggest we are currently tracking…
NPJ Natural Hazards, 16 April 2026) Rising temperatures and shifting regional precipitation patterns are reducing…
Nature Communications, 18 March 2026 This study identified a marked increase in both flood frequency…
The Cryosphere, 7 April 2026 Projections of Antarctica’s response to temporary but extreme ocean warming…
The Cryosphere, 1 April 2026 Antarctic sea ice stayed fairly steady from 2010-2014, but began…
Changes in Antarctica can trigger fast and cascading impacts, often with global consequences. Multiple abrupt…