Categories: Cryosphere Capsules

Past Arctic Warming Reveals Greenland Ice Vulnerability at Low Temperature Thresholds

Nature Geoscience, 24 November 2025

The Prudhoe Dome ice cap in northern Greenland completely melted 7,000 years ago and was ice-free until a few thousand years ago, indicating that parts of the Greenland Ice Sheet disappeared when global mean temperatures were actually cooler than today (about 0.3°C cooler than the 2011-19 average, according to IPCC AR6). However, parts of the Arctic were much warmer than the global average, with this part of Greenland perhaps 3-5°C warmer than today, especially in summer months. These same temperatures will likely occur again in the Arctic by 2100 unless strong emissions reductions take place. The discovery that this 500-meter thick ice cap spanning 2,500 km2 vanished at relatively lower temperatures raises the alarm that similar loss could occur in the near future, since the Arctic is warming four times faster than the global average. This study indicates that the Greenland ice sheet is highly sensitive to relatively small increases in temperature.

Paper | Summary by the University of Buffalo | News Coverage

Pam Pearson

Recent Posts

Without Emissions Cuts, A Real Risk of Extreme Sea-level Rise by 2100

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, 23 April 2026 Observations suggest we are currently tracking…

2 days ago

Increasing Avalanche Risk from Himalayan Hanging Glaciers

NPJ Natural Hazards, 16 April 2026) Rising temperatures and shifting regional precipitation patterns are reducing…

2 days ago

Heavier Rainfall, Glacier Melt Increase Flooding Across the Tibetan Plateau

Nature Communications, 18 March 2026 This study identified a marked increase in both flood frequency…

2 days ago

Intense Ocean Warming, Even If Temporary, Could Trigger Major Antarctic Ice Loss

The Cryosphere, 7 April 2026 Projections of Antarctica’s response to temporary but extreme ocean warming…

2 days ago

Antarctic Sea Ice Decline Linked to Extreme Weather and Climate Patterns

The Cryosphere, 1 April 2026 Antarctic sea ice stayed fairly steady from 2010-2014, but began…

2 days ago

COP30 Video of the Week: Emerging Evidence of Abrupt Changes in the Antarctic Environment

Changes in Antarctica can trigger fast and cascading impacts, often with global consequences. Multiple abrupt…

2 days ago