Thresholds of Irreversible Retreat Identified on Major Portion of West Antarctic Ice Sheet

Kryosfären, March 25

Located in the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, Pine Island is currently the fastest melting glacier in Antarctica and accounts for a quarter of all ice lost in the region. Three distinct thresholds or tipping points, rather than one single event, were identified for the Pine Island Glacier in response to increases in ocean-induced melt. The crossing of a threshold could easily be misinterpreted as a period of fast retreat, while in reality, the glacier will have entered a phase of retreat resulting in irreversible and rapid ice loss. The first and second thresholds are relatively small, but could still lead to considerable sea-level rise, with a low chance of recovery. The third and final threshold, triggered by an ocean warming of approximately 1.2°C, will lead to the retreat of the entire Pine Island Glacier, which could initiate the collapse of the entire West Antarctic Ice Sheet. This alone would result in over three meters of global sea level rise, with catastrophic consequences for coastal regions across the world.

https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/15/1501/2021/

Compiled by Amy Imdieke

Pam Pearson

Recent Posts

SB64 Side Event on Cryosphere and Overshoot: Implications of Peak CO2 and Temperature for Global Cryosphere

Monday June 8th, 16:30-17:45 CEST in Room Kaminzimmer, World Conference Center (WCC), Bonn Dear Cryosphere…

7 timmar ago

Seasonal Glacier Water Supply Becoming Less Reliable for Cities in Asia

Nature Communications, 15 May 2026 Glaciers and snowpack currently help reduce water shortages for many…

5 dagar ago

Increasingly Unpredictable River Floods in Indus River Basin

Communications Earth & Environment, 14 May 2026 River floods in the upper Indus basin are…

5 dagar ago

Thawing Permafrost Increases Flood and Landslide Risks in the Western Himalaya

NPJ Natural Hazards, 8 May 2026 Rapid warming increases permafrost thaw and the risk of…

5 dagar ago

Impact of 2022 Heatwave and 2023 Extreme Summer Snowfall on the Western Himalaya

Scientific Reports, 29 April 2026 Extreme weather events increasingly shape how Himalayan glaciers gain and…

5 dagar ago

Glacier Retreat Increases Likelihood of Landslides and Tsunamis

Science, 6 May 2026 An August 2025 landslide in Tracy Arm fjord, Alaska, generated one…

2 veckor ago