{"id":5415,"date":"2023-12-22T18:34:32","date_gmt":"2023-12-22T18:34:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/?p=5415"},"modified":"2023-12-22T18:34:32","modified_gmt":"2023-12-22T18:34:32","slug":"arctic-warming-accelerates-global-temperature-rise-towards-critical-1-5c-threshold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/sv\/arctic-warming-accelerates-global-temperature-rise-towards-critical-1-5c-threshold\/","title":{"rendered":"Arctic Warming Accelerates Global Temperature Rise Towards Critical 1.5\u00b0C Threshold"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Journal of Earth System Dynamics, 14 November 2023<\/p>\n<p>The Arctic is warming nearly four times faster than the global average rate. A new study has quantified the impact of this faster warming on how quickly the Paris Agreement\u2019s global temperature limits of 1.5\u00b0C and 2\u00b0C are likely to be breached. Scientists analyzed data from climate models that contributed to the most recent IPCC assessment report, AR6. They found that under a moderate carbon emissions scenario, the Paris Agreement\u2019s 1.5\u00b0C and 2\u00b0C limits will be breached five and eight years earlier, respectively, than in a fictitious world where the Arctic only warmed at the global average rate. In addition to amplifying warming, their study shows that the Arctic contributes a disproportionate amount of uncertainty to climate forecasts: the Arctic region accounts for 15% of uncertainty in projections, despite making up only 4% of global surface area, often resulting in underestimation of the pace of change in Earth&#8217;s &#8220;global refrigerator.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/esd.copernicus.org\/articles\/14\/1165\/2023\/\">https:\/\/esd.copernicus.org\/articles\/14\/1165\/2023\/<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Journal of Earth System Dynamics, 14 November 2023 The Arctic is warming nearly four times faster than the global average rate. A new study has quantified the impact of this faster warming on how quickly the Paris Agreement\u2019s global temperature limits of 1.5\u00b0C and 2\u00b0C are likely to be breached. Scientists analyzed data from climate [&#8230;]\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[152],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5415","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cryosphere-capsules"],"modified_by":"Pam Pearson","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5415","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5415"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5415\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5416,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5415\/revisions\/5416"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5415"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5415"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/sv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5415"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}