{"id":11,"date":"2012-03-26T19:51:16","date_gmt":"2012-03-26T19:51:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/web62630.aiso.net\/?page_id=11"},"modified":"2024-07-02T22:32:18","modified_gmt":"2024-07-02T22:32:18","slug":"why-icci","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/why-icci\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u9009\u62e9ICCI"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u6211\u4eec\u5168\u7403\u7684\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u2014\u2014\u51b0\u96ea\u3001\u6c38\u4e45\u51bb\u571f\u5730\u533a\u4ee5\u53ca\u4e24\u4e2a\u6781\u5730\u6d77\u6d0b\u2014\u2014\u6b63\u5728\u56e0\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u800c\u6d88\u5931\u3002\u4f46\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u5e76\u4e0d\u4f1a\u4ec5\u9650\u4e8e\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\uff0c\u5b83\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u5230\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u5730\u7684\u793e\u533a\u548c\u751f\u6001\u7cfb\u7edf\uff1a<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u901a\u8fc7\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\u548c\u51b0\u76d6\u53ca\u51b0\u5ddd\u878d\u5316\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u6d0b\u6d41\u6270\u52a8\uff1b;<\/li>\n<li>\u901a\u8fc7\u79ef\u96ea\u548c\u51b0\u5ddd\u878d\u6c34\u7684\u6c34\u8d44\u6e90\u4f9b\u5e94\uff1b;<\/li>\n<li>\u901a\u8fc7\u78b3\u6392\u653e\u548c\u6c38\u4e45\u51bb\u571f\u878d\u5316\u9020\u6210\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u7834\u574f\uff1b;<\/li>\n<li>\u968f\u7740\u6d77\u51b0\u51cf\u5c11\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u6781\u5730\u53d8\u6696\uff1b;<\/li>\n<li>\u901a\u8fc7\u6781\u5730\u548c\u8fd1\u6781\u5730\u6d77\u6d0b\u7684\u9178\u5316\u548c\u53d8\u6696\u3002.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u901f\u5ea6\u6bd4\u5730\u7403\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u66f4\u5feb\u3001\u66f4\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\uff0c\u8fd9\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u51b0\u7684\u7194\u70b9\u3002\u7279\u522b\u662f\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e86\u89e3\u5230\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u7684\u547d\u8fd0 <span class=\"BxUVEf ILfuVd\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"hgKElc\">\u2014<\/span><\/span> \u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8fd9\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u6211\u4eec\u8d56\u4ee5\u751f\u5b58\u7684\u5730\u7403\u7684\u72b6\u51b5 <span class=\"BxUVEf ILfuVd\" lang=\"en\"><span class=\"hgKElc\">\u2014<\/span><\/span> \u5728\u4eca\u5929\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u8303\u56f4\uff1a\u6bd4\u5de5\u4e1a\u5316\u524d\u9ad8\u51fa 1\u00b0C \u81f3 2\u00b0C\uff0c\u6216 CO2 \u6d53\u5ea6\u5728 350ppm \u81f3 500ppm \u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u5c24\u5176\u654f\u611f\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u7684\u7269\u7406\u54cd\u5e94\u610f\u5473\u7740\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u4eca\u5929\u7ea6 1.2 \u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u4e5f\u5904\u4e8e\u5371\u9669\u8303\u56f4\u5185\uff0c\u8d85\u51fa\u300a\u5df4\u9ece\u534f\u5b9a\u300b1.5 \u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u7684\u9650\u5236\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u63a5\u53d7\u7684\u3002\u6bcf\u4e00\u5206\u4e00\u70b9\u7684\u6e29\u5ea6\u53d8\u5316\u90fd\u5f88\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u6bcf\u4e00\u6b21\u8d85\u6807\u7684\u5e45\u5ea6\u4e5f\u540c\u6837\u91cd\u8981\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0cICCI \u81f4\u529b\u4e8e<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\u7a81\u51fa\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u7684\u56f0\u5883\u3001\u6b63\u5728\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u5feb\u901f\u53d8\u5316\u53ca\u5176\u5168\u7403\u6027\u540e\u679c\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u901a\u8fc7\u5e74\u5ea6\u300a\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u72b6\u51b5\u62a5\u544a\u300b\u3002.<\/li>\n<li>\u544a\u77e5\u6c14\u5019\u8c08\u5224\u4ee3\u8868\u548c\u56fd\u9645\u793e\u4f1a\uff0c\u5728\u5404\u7c7b\u6d3b\u52a8\u4e2d\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5728\u7f14\u7ea6\u65b9\u4f1a\u8bae\uff08UNFCCC\uff09\u7684\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u4ee5\u53ca\u8bbe\u7acb\u7684\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u5c55\u9986\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f1a\u5f71\u54cd\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6c14\u5019\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u5dee\u5f02\u3002.<\/li>\n<li>\u6c47\u96c6\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u5229\u76ca\u76f8\u5173\u8005\u7684\u7f51\u7edc\uff0c\u5236\u5b9a\u8db3\u591f\u6c14\u5019\u96c4\u5fc3\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4ee5\u9632\u6b62\u5168\u7403\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u635f\u5931\u9020\u6210\u65e5\u76ca\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u635f\u5931\u548c\u635f\u5bb3\u3002.<\/li>\n<li>\u5e2e\u52a9\u8de8\u5b66\u79d1\u7efc\u5408\u9879\u76ee\u83b7\u5f97\u8d44\u52a9\uff0c\u6c47\u805a\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u7ec4\u7ec7\u548c\u4e2a\u4eba\uff08\u4f8b\u5982\u5317\u6781\u3001\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u548c\u5357\u6781\u9ed1\u78b3\u4e13\u5bb6\uff09\uff0c\u4ee5\u91c7\u53d6\u5730\u65b9\u548c\u533a\u57df\u6027\u7684\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u884c\u52a8\u3002.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>\u4fa7\u91cd\u4e8e\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u662f\u5c3d\u53ef\u80fd\u4fdd\u62a4\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u957f\u671f\u52aa\u529b\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u81ea 2009 \u5e74\u54e5\u672c\u54c8\u6839 COP15 \u4f1a\u8bae\u4e4b\u540e\u7acb\u5373\u6210\u7acb\u4ee5\u6765\uff0cICCI \u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u8fd9\u4e9b\u52aa\u529b\u7684\u6709\u529b\u5021\u5bfc\u8005\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5f3a\u8c03\u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\u6392\u653e\u5bf9\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u635f\u5931\u548c\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u9a71\u52a8\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u867d\u7136\u533a\u57df\u6027\u9ed1\u78b3\u51cf\u6392\u7b49\u5176\u4ed6\u89e3\u51b3\u65b9\u6848\u6709\u79d1\u5b66\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u4f46 ICCI \u4e5f\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u5c06\u5176\u63a8\u5e7f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u901a\u8fc7\u5404\u79cd\u793a\u8303\u9879\u76ee\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>ICCI \u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u6846\u67b6\u6700\u521d\u4fa7\u91cd\u4e8e\u4e00\u9879\u4e3a\u671f\u4e94\u5e74\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\uff0c\u4ece 2010 \u5e74\u5230 2015 \u5e74\uff0c\u5e76\u7740\u773c\u4e8e 2015 \u5e74\u7684\u300a\u5df4\u9ece\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\u3002\u867d\u7136\u300a\u5df4\u9ece\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\u4ee3\u8868\u7740\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u8fdb\u6b65\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u4e2d\u901a\u8fc7\u7684\u6c14\u5019\u627f\u8bfa\uff08\u6216\u201c\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u4e3b\u8d21\u732e\u201d\uff0cNationally Determined Contributions\uff0c\u7b80\u79f0 NDCs\uff09\u5bf9\u4e8e\u7ef4\u7cfb\u5730\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u7cfb\u7edf\u7684\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u4fdd\u62a4\u4efb\u52a1\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u662f\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u8db3\u7684\uff0c\u6b63\u5982 ICCI 2015 \u5e74\u7684\u201c\u9608\u503c\u201d\u62a5\u544a\u4e2d\u6240\u6982\u8ff0\u7684\u90a3\u6837\u3002.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5728\u5df4\u9ece\u4e4b\u540e\uff0cICCI \u7eed\u7b7e\u4e86\u5176\u4efb\u52a1\u6388\u6743\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u76ee\u6807\u5b9a\u5728 2030 \u5e74\uff0c\u5c4a\u65f6 IPCC \u7684\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u4eec\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u5fc5\u987b\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u81f3\u5c11\u51cf\u5c11 40% \u7684\u5316\u77f3\u71c3\u6599\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u6e29\u5ba4\u6c14\u4f53\u6392\u653e\u91cf\uff0c\u624d\u6709\u671b\u5c06\u5347\u6e29\u5e45\u5ea6\u7ef4\u6301\u5728 1.5\u00b0C \u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u5e76\u9632\u6b62\u5728\u8d85\u8fc7\u8be5\u6e29\u5ea6\u65f6\u5c06\u8fc5\u901f\u6269\u5927\u3001\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u8f6c\u7684\u635f\u5931\u548c\u635f\u5bb3\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\u4eca\u5929\u5df2\u7ecf\u663e\u73b0\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u6700\u65b0\u7684\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u79d1\u5b66\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f 1.5\u00b0C \u5bf9\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u6765\u8bf4\u4e5f\u592a\u9ad8\u4e86\u3002\u5982\u679c\u300a\u5df4\u9ece\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\u4eca\u5929\u8fbe\u6210\uff0c\u79d1\u5b66\u5c06\u4fc3\u4f7f\u8bbe\u5b9a\u7edd\u5bf9 1.5\u00b0C \u7684\u4e0a\u9650\u800c\u4e0d\u662f 2\u00b0C\uff0c\u5e76\u52aa\u529b\u5c3d\u5feb\u56de\u843d\u5230 1\u00b0C \u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u4e3a\u54cd\u5e94\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u547c\u5401\uff0cICCI\u6b63\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u5411\u5168\u7403\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u660e\u786e\u201c1.5\u00b0C\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u8b66\u6212\u7ebf\u201d\u4ee5\u53ca\u5404\u56fd\u7d27\u6025\u9700\u8981\u54111.5\u00b0C\u8def\u5f84\u8fc8\u8fdb\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6027\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u662f\u6c14\u5019\u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u7269\u7406\u73b0\u5b9e\uff0c\u4e0d\u5bb9\u5ffd\u89c6\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u80fd\u51ed\u7a7a\u62b9\u6740\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u4eca\uff0cICCI \u5df2\u5728\u745e\u5178\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u6ce8\u518c\u4e3a\u975e\u8425\u5229\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u5176\u9879\u76ee\u6d89\u53ca\u5317\u6781\u3001\u5357\u6781\u3001\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u5c71\u3001\u5b89\u7b2c\u65af\u5c71\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u5c71\u533a\u4ee5\u53ca\u6781\u5730\u6d77\u6d0b\u3002.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our global cryosphere \u2014 ice, snow, and permafrost regions, as well as both polar oceans \u2014 is being lost due to global warming. But what happens in the cryosphere does not stay in the cryosphere, and reaches communities and ecosystems around the planet: through sea-level rise and ocean current disturbance from ice sheet and glacier [&#8230;]\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","template":"page-right-sidebar.php","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-11","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/11","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=11"}],"version-history":[{"count":8,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/11\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5654,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/11\/revisions\/5654"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=11"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}