{"id":1126,"date":"2015-11-27T17:50:08","date_gmt":"2015-11-27T17:50:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/iccinet.org\/?page_id=1126"},"modified":"2026-01-13T20:36:13","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T20:36:13","slug":"thresholds","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/thresholds\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\u4e0e\u7a97\u53e3\u671f"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2><em>\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u8f6c\u51bb\u571f\u5e26\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u98ce\u9669<\/em><\/h2>\n<p>\u653f\u7b56\u5236\u5b9a\u8005\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u666e\u904d\u63a5\u53d7\uff0c\u5317\u6781\u3001\u5357\u6781\u548c\u8bb8\u591a\u5c71\u533a\u53d8\u6696\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5df2\u7ecf\u662f\u5730\u7403\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u533a\u7684\u4e24\u5230\u4e09\u500d\u3002\u5728\u79d1\u5b66\u754c\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u5bf9\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u2014\u2014\u5373\u51b0\u96ea\u5730\u533a\u7684\u6027\u8d28\u2014\u2014\u7684\u7406\u89e3\u5374\u5f88\u5c11\uff0c\u5b83\u7684\u52a8\u529b\u5b66\u4e00\u65e6\u88ab\u89e6\u53d1\uff0c\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\u5373\u4f7f\u6e29\u5ea6\u6216\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6c34\u5e73\u6062\u590d\u5230\u8f83\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u9006\u8f6c\u3002.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u9608\u503c\u548c\u5173\u95ed\u7684\u7a97\u53e3\uff1a\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u201d\u65e8\u5728\u4f20\u8fbe IPCC AR5 \u548c\u6b64\u540e\u5173\u952e\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff1a\u5373\u6309\u7167\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u627f\u8bfa\u6c34\u5e73\u6216\u56fd\u5bb6\u81ea\u4e3b\u8d21\u732e\uff0c\u4eba\u7c7b\u5c06\u9762\u4e34\u8de8\u8d8a\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u533a\u57df\u67d0\u4e9b\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u8f6c\u9608\u503c\u7684\u9ad8\u98ce\u9669\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u5c06\u5f15\u53d1\u65e0\u6cd5\u505c\u6b62\u6216\u9006\u8f6c\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u5728\u67d0\u4e9b\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u8fce\u6765\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u201c\u5c0f\u51b0\u6cb3\u65f6\u671f\u201d\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u53ef\u80fd\u65e0\u6cd5\u9006\u8f6c\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u65e0\u6cd5\u963b\u6b62\u3002\u9632\u6b62\u8fd9\u4e9b\u52a8\u6001\u5f00\u59cb\u7684\u552f\u4e00\u65b9\u6cd5\u662f\u786e\u4fdd\u6e29\u5ea6\u6c38\u8fdc\u4e0d\u4f1a\u5347\u9ad8\u5230\u90a3\u4e2a\u6c34\u5e73\u3002.<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ssl.gstatic.com\/ui\/v1\/icons\/mail\/images\/cleardot.gif\" alt=\"\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5f15\u7528<\/strong> ICCI\uff0c2015. \u4e34\u754c\u9608\u503c\u4e0e\u5173\u95ed\u7a97\u53e3\uff1a\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u8f6c\u7684\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u98ce\u9669\u3002\u300a\u56fd\u9645\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u6c14\u5019\u5021\u8bae\u300b\uff08ICCI\uff09\uff0c\u745e\u5178\u65af\u5fb7\u54e5\u5c14\u6469\u300232\u9875\u3002.<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u5df2\u51fa\u7248\uff1a<\/strong> 2015\u5e7412\u67089\u65e5<\/p>\n<p><strong>DOI:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.18223467\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.5281\/zenodo.18223467<\/a><\/p>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/iccinet.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/ICCI_thresholds_v6b_151203_high_res.pdf\" target=\"_self\" class=\"button primary\"  >\n    <span>\u4e0b\u8f7d\u62a5\u544a<\/span>\n  <\/a>\n\n<p>\u572812\u67089\u65e5\u5df4\u9ece\u6c14\u5019\u8c08\u5224\u4e4b\u9645\uff0c\u300a\u9608\u503c\u300b\u5370\u5237\u7248\u7684\u53d1\u5e03\uff0c\u4e00\u7fa4\u62a5\u544a\u5ba1\u7a3f\u4eba\u548c\u5176\u5b83\u9876\u5c16\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5728\u300a\u536b\u62a5\u300b\u4e0a\u520a\u767b\u5e7f\u544a\uff0c\u547c\u5401\u5927\u5e45\u524a\u51cf\u6392\u653e\uff0c\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u8de8\u8d8a\u201c\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u201d\uff08\u96ea\u548c\u51b0\uff09\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5371\u9669\u9608\u503c\u3002\u201c\u4ed6\u4eec\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u53d1\u65e0\u6cd5\u505c\u6b62\u6216\u9006\u8f6c\u7684\u957f\u671f\u6027\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u540e\u6765\u6e29\u5ea6\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u201d\u6709\u4e9b\u6539\u53d8\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6781\u5730\u5927\u51b0\u76d6\u5df2\u627f\u8bfa\u7684\u6d77\u5e73\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u9664\u975e\u8fdb\u5165\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7684\u51b0\u6cb3\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u5426\u5219\u65e0\u6cd5\u9006\u8f6c\u3002\u201c<\/p>\n<p>23\u540d\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u662fIPCC\u7b2c\u4e94\u6b21\u8bc4\u4f30\u62a5\u544a\u7684\u4f5c\u8005\uff0c\u547c\u5401\u5404\u56fd\u627f\u8bfa\u5c06\u6c14\u6e29\u5347\u5e45\u63a7\u5236\u5728\u4e24\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u6700\u597d\u662f\u6bd4\u5de5\u4e1a\u5316\u524d\u6c34\u5e73\u4f4e1.5\u6444\u6c0f\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ee5\u6700\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5730\u964d\u4f4e\u98ce\u9669\u3002. <a href=\"http:\/\/iccinet.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/Thresholds-Guardian-Dec-9.pdf\">\u70b9\u51fb\u6b64\u5904\u67e5\u770b\u201c\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u7c7b\u65f6\u95f4\u5c3a\u5ea6\u4e0a\u7684\u635f\u5931\u201d\u53f7\u53ec<\/a>.<\/p>\n<h2>\u6f14\u793a\u6587\u7a3f<\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/iccinet.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/1-Introduction-Crypshere-risks.pptx\">\u51b0\u51bb\u5708\u98ce\u9669\u4ecb\u7ecd\uff08.ppt\uff09 <\/a> \u8bf7\u6ce8\u610f\uff0cFirefox \u65e0\u6cd5\u6253\u5f00 .pptx \u6587\u4ef6\u3002\u60a8\u5fc5\u987b\u4f7f\u7528\u201c\u53e6\u5b58\u4e3a\u201d\u6216 Google Chrome \u6765\u67e5\u770b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6f14\u793a\u6587\u7a3f\u3002.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/icesheets.ppt\">\u5b89\u5fb7\u65af\u00b7\u83b1\u5f17\u66fc - \u51b0\u76d6\uff08\u5927\u578b.ppt\uff09<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/iccinet.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/3-George-Kaser-Mountain-Glaciers.pptx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">\u4e54\u6cbb\u00b7\u51ef\u6cfd \u2013 \u5c71\u5730\u51b0\u5ddd (.pptx)<\/a> \u8bf7\u6ce8\u610f\uff0cFirefox \u65e0\u6cd5\u6253\u5f00 .pptx \u6587\u4ef6\u3002\u60a8\u5fc5\u987b\u4f7f\u7528\u201c\u53e6\u5b58\u4e3a\u201d\u6216 Google Chrome \u6765\u67e5\u770b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6f14\u793a\u6587\u7a3f\u3002.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/Permafrost.pptx\">\u82cf\u73ca\u00b7\u7eb3\u5854\u5229 \u2013 \u6c38\u4e45\u51bb\u571f (.pptx)<\/a> \u8bf7\u6ce8\u610f\uff0cFirefox \u65e0\u6cd5\u6253\u5f00 .pptx \u6587\u4ef6\u3002\u60a8\u5fc5\u987b\u4f7f\u7528\u201c\u53e6\u5b58\u4e3a\u201d\u6216 Google Chrome \u6765\u67e5\u770b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6f14\u793a\u6587\u7a3f\u3002.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/12\/ArcticSeaIce.pdf\">\u8fea\u5c14\u514b\u00b7\u8bfa\u8328 \u2013 \u5317\u6781\u6d77\u51b0 (.pdf)<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2015\/11\/ICCI_thresholds_v6b_151203_high_res.pdf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-3847\" src=\"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/12\/ICCI_thresholds_v6b_151203_high_res.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"407\" height=\"576\" \/><\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Risks of Irreversible Cryosphere Climate Change Policy makers and the general public alike now largely accept that the Arctic, Antarctica and many mountain regions already have warmed two-three times faster than the rest of the planet.\u00a0 What is less understood, outside the scientific community, is that the very nature of the cryosphere \u2013 regions of [&#8230;]\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1126","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1126","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1126"}],"version-history":[{"count":24,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1126\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7382,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1126\/revisions\/7382"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1126"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}