{"id":6732,"date":"2025-06-09T20:47:07","date_gmt":"2025-06-09T20:47:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/?p=6732"},"modified":"2025-06-09T20:47:08","modified_gmt":"2025-06-09T20:47:08","slug":"present-day-warming-nearing-critical-threshold-for-west-antarctic-ice-sheet-stability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/present-day-warming-nearing-critical-threshold-for-west-antarctic-ice-sheet-stability\/","title":{"rendered":"Present-Day Warming Nearing Critical Threshold for West Antarctic Ice Sheet Stability"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Communications Earth and Environment, 30 May 2025<\/p>\n<p>Research analyzing the Antarctic Ice Sheet&#8217;s behavior over the past 800,000 years finds that a minimal increase in ocean temperatures above today&#8217;s levels, or even no additional warming at all if today&#8217;s temperatures continue, could trigger the irreversible collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS). Historically, WAIS has oscillated between two stable states for nearly a million years: one where it remains intact, as it is today, and another where it has collapsed entirely. These oscillations are driven by small variations in ocean temperature, which once exceeded past a critical limit, push the ice sheet irreversibly towards disintegration. Once the tipping point is crossed, returning WAIS to a new stable state requires temperatures to stay at or below pre-industrial levels for several thousand years. While ice sheet formation is incredibly slow, its destabilization can happen in just a few decades; once triggered, it sets in motion feedback loops that amplify heat absorption and ice loss, rendering it nearly impossible to halt. A stable WAIS is important not only to maintain global sea levels, but also ocean circulation patterns and weather systems.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s43247-025-02366-2\">\u8bba\u6587\u5168\u6587<\/a> | <a href=\"https:\/\/phys.org\/news\/2025-06-scientists-years-vital-future-west.html\">Plain Language Summary from Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Communications Earth and Environment, 30 May 2025 Research analyzing the Antarctic Ice Sheet&#8217;s behavior over the past 800,000 years finds that a minimal increase in ocean temperatures above today&#8217;s levels, or even no additional warming at all if today&#8217;s temperatures continue, could trigger the irreversible collapse of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet (WAIS). Historically, WAIS [&#8230;]\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[152],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6732","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cryosphere-capsules"],"modified_by":"Pam Pearson","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6732","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=6732"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6732\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6733,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6732\/revisions\/6733"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=6732"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=6732"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=6732"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}