Nature Climate Change, 15 December 2025<\/p>\n
Glacier loss is projected to rapidly increase this century, peaking between 2040 and 2055, when up to 2,000 glaciers per year could disappear even if warming is limited to 1.5\u00b0C. However, up to 4,000 glaciers per year could disappear under 4.0\u00b0C warming. This peak rate under high emissions is three to five times higher than today\u2019s losses of roughly 750-800 glaciers annually. Globally, nearly 50% of today\u2019s glaciers could still exist by 2100 under 1.5\u00b0C warming, compared to around only 20% under current policies (2.7\u00b0C), and fewer than 10% at 4.0\u00b0C. Many regions therefore face near-total loss under high emissions, including Central Europe, Western Canada and the U.S., with Central Asia also facing a steep decline. These findings highlight the importance of mitigation: limiting warming to 1.5\u00b0C could more than double the number of glaciers surviving by 2100 compared with 2.7\u00b0C and prevent the near-complete loss expected under 4.0\u00b0C warming.<\/p>\n
\u7eb8<\/a> | Summary by ETH Zurich<\/a> | News Coverage<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Nature Climate Change, 15 December 2025 Glacier loss is projected to rapidly increase this century, peaking between 2040 and 2055, when up to 2,000 glaciers per year could disappear even if warming is limited to 1.5\u00b0C. However, up to 4,000 glaciers per year could disappear under 4.0\u00b0C warming. This peak rate under high emissions is […]\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[152],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7341","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-cryosphere-capsules"],"modified_by":"Pam Pearson","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7341","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7341"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7341\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7342,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7341\/revisions\/7342"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7341"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7341"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/iccinet.org\/zh\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7341"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}