Working to Decrease Uncertainty of Future Sea-level Rise from Antarctica

Eos, January 10

Pinning down the amount, rates and timing of future sea-level rise from Antarctica requires more targeted and integrated efforts to identify and understand the key processes affecting ice sheet melt. Many of these involve dynamic instabilities, as well as potentially irreversible behavior by the ice sheet. Such inter-disciplinary studies will not only help improve efforts at adaptation, including potential needs for managed retreat; but also identify a threshold level of atmospheric carbon dioxide that once crossed, may cause unstoppable, multigenerational ice loss and sea-level rise from Antarctica. This article provides an overview of knowledge to-date, and a description of the Instabilities and Thresholds in Antarctica (INSTANT) program launched last year by the Scientific Committee on Antarctic Research (SCAR).

https://eos.org/features/the-uncertain-future-of-antarcticas-melting-ice

Pam Pearson

Recent Posts

COP31 Cryosphere Pavilion: Call for Side Events and ECS Volunteers

Dear Friends of the Cryosphere Pavilion and Cryosphere Capsule Readers! We are happy to announce…

1 week ago

Extreme Sea-Level Rise Could Lead to Large-Scale Coastal Relocation in the United Kingdom

Nature Communications, 21 July 2026 Rising sea levels driven by ocean warming and ice sheet…

1 week ago

East Antarctic Ice Shelf Melt Driven by Warm Surface Ocean Waters

Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 26 June 2026 East Antarctica has long been considered less…

1 week ago

Increasing Decline in Antarctic Bottom Water Volume Since 2000s

Geophysical Research Letters, 9 July 2026 Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) is the cold, dense water…

1 week ago

Record-Low Arctic Winter Sea Ice in 2025 and 2026 Signals Continued Decline

PNAS, 20 July 2026 After several years in the early 2020s when Arctic winter sea…

1 week ago

AMOC Weakening and Permafrost Thaw During Overshoot of the 1.5°C Paris Limit

Nature Communications, 16 July 2026 Temporarily exceeding global warming targets increases the risk of long-lasting…

1 week ago