南极淡水排放对未来气候产生重大影响

Science Advances, September 23 Under moderate and high emissions scenarios, the discharge of vast amounts of meltwater from the Antarctic Ice Sheet into the Southern Ocean could affect ocean currents and regional/global climate patterns due to impacts on the overturning ocean circulation.  The faster the ice sheet melts, the more cold freshwater flows into the […]

高排放情景下格陵兰岛和南极洲冰量损失的最新估计

The Cryosphere, September 17 Sea-level rise from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets alone could be 39 cm higher by 2100 than previously estimated under high emissions scenarios. These new estimates come from a large international effort comprising more than 30 different institutions and 60 leading ocean, climate and ice-sheet scientists; and are based on […]

Rising Temperatures Lead to Irreversible Ice Loss and Sea-level Rise From Antarctica

Nature, September 23 The rate and scale of ice loss from Antarctica will increase as temperatures exceed 2°C, according to new modeling from the Potsdam Institute.  At global warming up to 2°C above pre-industrial, Antarctica would lose enough ice mass to increase global sea-levels by 1.3 m per each degree of warming.  From 2°C to […]

斯瓦尔巴群岛冰川积雪覆盖减少 自20世纪80年代中期以来损失加速.

Nature Communications, September 14 Most of Svalbard’s glaciers and ice caps have lost the porous snow layer that previously protected them from yearly temperature fluctuations. This snow layer was lost below a critical altitude of 450 meters already in the 1980s, which rendered 60% of Svalbard’s ice highly vulnerable to further warming; starting a period […]

Antarctica without Ice Shelves Leads to Rapid Multi-Meter Sea Level Rise

Journal of Glaciology, September 14 Collapse of ice shelves neighbouring the Antarctic Ice Sheet has the potential to contribute 1 to 12 meters of sea level rise over the next 500 years, with 1.9 to 5 meters generated within 500 years by the collapse of ice shelves adjoining the West Antarctic Ice Sheet alone. Such […]

WAIS Ice Shelves Show Early Signs of Irreversible Disintegration

PNAS, September 14 Extensive open fractures have developed in the ice shelves of the Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers in the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, potentially priming them for future collapse. No such crevasses existed at the beginning of satellite records in 1997, with rapidly growing crevasse-damaged areas by 2019, accelerating since 2016.  These damaged […]

高排放情景下,新的不稳定的北极

自然气候变化,9月14日。 北极正面临着从以冰冻圈为主的系统快速转变的高风险,促使研究人员敦促各国政府紧急减少温室气体排放,以避免失去其对全球气候系统的稳定作用。在当前高排放情景下,使用新的CMIP5 […]

北大西洋变暖导致斯瓦尔巴群岛北部海冰减少,风暴增多

Journal of Geophysical Research, July 11 On the other side of the Arctic, an earlier study this summer found that winter storms and warm near‐surface Atlantic water appear directly responsible for winter sea ice loss in the Whalers Bay area north of Svalbard.  The amount of heat transported from the Atlantic Ocean, and storm frequency both […]

2018年白令海冬季海冰至少5500年来最低

Science Advances, September 2 Summer sea ice minimums receive the most attention; but Arctic sea ice has been declining year-round, and new reconstructions place the 2018 winter maximum in the Bering Sea as the lowest in at least 5500 years.  The 2018 and 2019 maximums were also 60-70% lower than the averages recorded since consistent […]

喜马拉雅中部高排放情景下冰川大幅减少

Journal of Glaciology, August 26 Up to 85% of the glaciers found in the Koshi River Basin could disappear by 2100 under the highest emission scenarios (RCP8.5). The Koshi River, a major tributary of the Ganges has a 50,000 km2 basin (the size of Costa Rica).  Over 5% is covered by glaciers, and spreads across India, Nepal, […]

在南极主要冰川下发现巨大的暖水通道

在索尔兹冰川(Thwaites Glacier)的冰舌下方收集到的新地图以及更远海域的地图显示,存在着深 (> 1000 米) 且宽 (> 20,000 米) 的海沟,这些海沟引导着温暖的洋水流进入冰层之下,加速了融化,最终可能导致其崩塌。索尔兹冰川是西南极冰盖(WAIS)的一部分,面积相当于英国大小,[…]

2020年北极火灾数量已超2019年创纪录高位的三分之一

Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, September 3 Arctic fire emissions – those directly caused by humans, as well as those from natural phenomena such as lightning strikes – already are one-third higher than the 2019 total, which itself broke the previous record.  The CO2 released from these fires through the end of August totalled around 244 […]

南极大部分冰架对融水断裂敏感

Nature, August 26 Antarctic ice shelves – floating ice in contact with land ice – are both critical to maintaining ice sheet stability, and vulnerable to catastrophic fracturing from meltwater entering crevasses. Hydro-fracturing occurs when surface meltwater flows into and deepens pre-existing fractures, and is a potential mechanism driving sudden ice shelf collapse, as occurred with […]

冰川湖的全球快速增长及溃决洪水风险

Nature Climate Change, August 31 The global volume of glacier lakes increased 48% between 1990 and 2018, to 156.5 km3, a volume that would cover the country of Liechtenstein by a lake 1 km deep. Glacial lakes are bodies of water fed by a glacier’s meltwater, and subject to sudden outburst events that unexpectedly can […]